April 27, 2011

The increasingly desperate Tory push to keep the worst electoral system in the world

Posted in Democratising Britain, Politics tagged , , , , at 2:25 am by David Gould

On Conservative Home, Rupert Myers creates a hypothetical AV election:

On election night, the first round results come in:
Conservatives: 28%
Labour: 24%
Liberal Democrats: 19%
English Defence League: 15%
Tom Barnaby ‘Keep Midsomer Safe’: 14%

Tom Barnaby has massively eroded the support bases of both the Liberal Democrats, and the EDL, but is eliminated from the contest in the first round. A breakdown of the second preference votes shows that a record breaking 99% of all second preferences of Labour, Conservative, Lib Dem, and EDL candidates went to Tom Barnaby. Tom Barnaby, the first/second choice of over 99% of the constituents of Midsomer, is eliminated in the first round.

So, we are led to believe that only 14% of voters would put Tom Barnaby first yet 85 out of 86% would put him second.

Not 3rd, 4th or 5th.  2nd.

Also, rather conveniently for Rupert, neither the Greens, UKIP, BNP nor any other independent bother to stand.

Now if a result like this has ever happened, feel free to let me know.  I’d put the odds at less than 1 in a million.

But here’s the amusing bit.  Under FPTP, he would have come last too.  In all probability, at least half all of his voters would have voted tactically, reducing his vote to single figures.  And since he sounds like a right wing candidate, he may well have split the Tory vote and let the Labour candidate in.


March 15, 2011

Hawaii adopts AV

Posted in Democratising Britain, Politics tagged , , , , at 2:14 am by David Gould

Hawaii says Yes!
NOtoAV is fond of saying only Australia, Papua New Guinea and Fiji have AV and Fiji is abandoning it (for a miliary coup/dictatorship).

Yeah well, almost every country but the US, Canada and Britain have abandoned FPTP, blame our democracy 1.0 for not offering more choice and Hawaii just adopted AV.